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The Kelly Formula in Football Betting Every Newbie Should Know

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更多 发布于:2023-12-29 10:30




The Kelly formula is considered incredibly important in financial investment and football betting. Simply put, bettors use betting tips and predictions and formula to significantly improve investment performance over time. In this article, Wintips will provide you with detailed information about this unique betting formula. Let's dive right in.


An Overview of the Kelly Method
The Kelly Criterion is the brainchild behind a method for calculating the betting odds of an event to determine the level of risk in each specific bet. There are several variations of the Kelly criterion, with the simplest formula being: (B x P – Q) / B. Here's what the variables stand for:
B represents the decimal odds.
P is the actual probability.
Q = 1 – P.





Advantages and Disadvantages of Using the Kelly Criterion in Betting
Below best betting tips app with advantages and disadvantages of the Kelly Criterion. Specifically:
Advantages:
Every formula has its own set of advantages. What makes the Kelly Criterion in betting so intriguing? Let's explore:
Efficient bankroll management before and during betting.
Careful and rational calculation of betting amounts based on loss ratios and bookmakers' odds.
Minimization of risks, allowing players to earn more from bets.
Providing a broader overview of a match before deciding on which team to bet on.
Simplifying statistical analysis and strategizing for oneself.
Disadvantages:
Alongside the mentioned advantages, the Kelly Criterion in betting also has some drawbacks that need addressing:
The accuracy of managing bets through this formula cannot reach 100%.
It requires determining the win probability for the match you intend to bet on.
Guidance on how to apply the Kelly Criterion in betting.
This capital management formula is used in various gaming genres and at different bookmakers. For example, in a match between Teams C and D with the following information:
Total wagered amount: $100
Winning odds for Team A: 60%
Betting odds: 1.93
The Kelly Criterion in football betting for the player will be: Betting ratio = ((1.93 – 60%) - 1) / (1.93 – 1)) x 100 = 16.99%.
Note: If these odds are negative, it might indicate that the winning odds for the match aren’t too high. In such a scenario, there are two options:
Bet on the opposing team.
Abstain from betting on that match.


Find out more : what's an asian handicap bet


Conclusion:
The aforementioned information from Wintips aims to provide you with the latest insights into the Kelly Criterion in betting. It is hoped that by utilizing this formula, individuals can gain a clearer understanding of its history, accurate calculation methods, and subsequently enhance their own winning odds.

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